Venezuela is at the brink of Civil War. What will happen to Maduro?

By Peter Tase

The Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela has been in a deep political crisis since 2017; the country is going through terrible economic problems and has currently the worst social obstacles that Latin America has ever experienced in the last forty years. Today the immigration crisis from Venezuela has spilled over all countries in South America, there are more than 3 millon Venezuelan Refugees that have left their home country for a better life and moved into Colombia, Brazil, Paraguay, Mexico, Peru and Chile. President Nicolas Maduro pretends to be the advocate of Venezuela's vulnerable population, however he leads a lavish and luxurious life style, having a large specially designed aircraft and multiple residences abroad, while his countrymen are suffering from hunger, absence of consumption goods in stores and from a four digits hyperinflation that has taken Venezuela into the abyss of disaster and political turmoil. Mr. Maduro and his close associates are conducting military provocations nearby the border with Colombia, Caracas is in a diplomatic crisis with 12 countries that have founded the Lima Group, an initiative established by the Republic of Peru in 2017, dedicated to handling the crisis of Venezuela.

The Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela under Nicolas Maduro is at the brink of Civil War, only last week there were injured over 400 protesters and killed over 30 pacific protesters in the streets of Caracas. Mr. Maduro believes that the interim president -legitimate president of Venezuela- Mr. Juan Guaidó is violating the national constitution and is furious against the European Union and United States, two key allies of Mr. Guaidó. Mr. Maduro accuses president Donald Trump for interfering in the internal affairs of Venezuela (which is NOT true), at the same time Mr. Nicolas Maduro (former President of Venezuela), has forgotten the fact that when serving as his country's Minister of Foreign Affairs in June 2012, he traveled directly to Asuncion, Paraguay, to call upon the country's top generals to do everything they could in stopping the soft political coup d'état led by the members of National Congress of Paraguay against the President of Paraguay Fernando Lugo Méndez; this scenario had the direct involvement of Mr. Maduro because Paraguay's top generals, Gen. Benicio Melgarejo and others were receiving a monthly salary from President Hugo Chavez ($3,000/month), only General of Air Forces of Paraguay Gen. Miguel Christ Jacobs was not on Chavez's payroll. Now Senator Fernando Lugo Mendez is defending Nicolas Maduro even though Paraguayan Government has cut completely the diplomatic ties with Venezuela. On this coming Wednesday Mr. Juan Guaidó has called for protests in hope that Venezuelan Army would join the people of Venezuela and abandon Mr. Maduro's club of oligarchs.


The Republic of Nicaragua is also in a deep political crisis and President Daniel Ortega will also be overthrown at some point this year. There are Russian troops in Nicaragua today as well as in Venezuela.

The auhtor is US expert on Global Politics and Transatlantic Relations, adviser to Global Engineering Deans Council and other prestigious international institutions.